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"Most likely" = the per-hour median across the 6 Open-Meteo model sources (GFS, ECMWF, ICON, UKMO, GEM, and Open-Meteo's own best-match blend) — the shaded band behind each line is the min–max spread across those same 6 models, so a wide band means the models disagree and a narrow band means they agree. NWS is intentionally excluded here since it only reports temperature, precipitation chance, and wind, not the full variable set. Condition is the most common (mode) description among the 6 models for that hour. See the full model comparison for every individual source.